Election results, Modi and Demonetization
As I write this blog, the complete results are not out yet. But, it has become evident that BJP has got a clean sweep in both UP and Uttarakhand, and the Congress has got a clean sweep in Punjab. The Congress and the BJP are going neck and neck in both Manipur and Goa at the moment. Now how should we interpret the results? Before starting the analysis, I must say that I am a neutral observer. I give issue based supports. For example, on demonetization and cow-slaughter ban I don't support the BJP.
Now, first of all let me say that the UP and Uttarakhand results should not be seen as an endorsement of demonetization. On the ground level, a lot of people had suffered a lot of pain and despair due to demonetization. However, the suffering has not been reflected in the results. The polarisation has outweighed the suffering. The BJP might have fanned the polarisation and got benefitted from it, but they cannot be blamed for it. The blatant partial administration of the SP has been the root cause of this polarisation. Hindus felt unsafe under the pro-Muslim SP rule, and if in their own country they are made feeling unsafe, they revolt. This was seen in the 2014 LS election results. But, the SP seemed to have taken no lessons from it. Akhilesh might have thought that aligning with the Congress would clear the doubts among the Muslims in choosing between him and Behan ji -- and he was not wrong in doing so -- but he hadn't considered that there would be a reverse consolidation, too. So, I think the UP election was neither about development, nor about demonetization. It was about self-respect of Hindus. They couldn't live as a second class citizen in their own backyard. So, lesson for the secular parties: Don't mistreat Hindus.
In Uttarakhand, the main issue was corruption. The Congress government was seen as indulging in corruption. So, lesson for the secular parties: Don't indulge in corruption.
In Punjab, the corruption of the ruling parties was a big issue, and no wonder like in Uttarakhand, the public has booted the ruling party out. The AAP was a big player there, but their radical agenda might have scared the Hindus, who voted overwhelmingly for the Congress. The Congress should also note that how having a strong local leader like Amrinder Singh helps! So, they must encourage the local leadership.
In the all India level, Modi's seemingly diminishing stature will once again rise. He will take full credit for the victory and will like to interpret the results as an endorsement to his demonetization policy. He may aggressively like to continue with his cashless economy policy.
As far as the Congress is concerned, I think it's high time to launch their best weapon, Priyanka Gandhi. On the ground, people have lost jobs due to demonetization, they have suffered a lot. The GDP will show a dip in the 4th quarter. The banks have already started exploiting the public in the name of cashless economy. The Congress must work continuously and build pressure on every anti-people policy of this government.
Pictures taken from the Internet
As I write this blog, the complete results are not out yet. But, it has become evident that BJP has got a clean sweep in both UP and Uttarakhand, and the Congress has got a clean sweep in Punjab. The Congress and the BJP are going neck and neck in both Manipur and Goa at the moment. Now how should we interpret the results? Before starting the analysis, I must say that I am a neutral observer. I give issue based supports. For example, on demonetization and cow-slaughter ban I don't support the BJP.
Now, first of all let me say that the UP and Uttarakhand results should not be seen as an endorsement of demonetization. On the ground level, a lot of people had suffered a lot of pain and despair due to demonetization. However, the suffering has not been reflected in the results. The polarisation has outweighed the suffering. The BJP might have fanned the polarisation and got benefitted from it, but they cannot be blamed for it. The blatant partial administration of the SP has been the root cause of this polarisation. Hindus felt unsafe under the pro-Muslim SP rule, and if in their own country they are made feeling unsafe, they revolt. This was seen in the 2014 LS election results. But, the SP seemed to have taken no lessons from it. Akhilesh might have thought that aligning with the Congress would clear the doubts among the Muslims in choosing between him and Behan ji -- and he was not wrong in doing so -- but he hadn't considered that there would be a reverse consolidation, too. So, I think the UP election was neither about development, nor about demonetization. It was about self-respect of Hindus. They couldn't live as a second class citizen in their own backyard. So, lesson for the secular parties: Don't mistreat Hindus.
In Uttarakhand, the main issue was corruption. The Congress government was seen as indulging in corruption. So, lesson for the secular parties: Don't indulge in corruption.
In Punjab, the corruption of the ruling parties was a big issue, and no wonder like in Uttarakhand, the public has booted the ruling party out. The AAP was a big player there, but their radical agenda might have scared the Hindus, who voted overwhelmingly for the Congress. The Congress should also note that how having a strong local leader like Amrinder Singh helps! So, they must encourage the local leadership.
In the all India level, Modi's seemingly diminishing stature will once again rise. He will take full credit for the victory and will like to interpret the results as an endorsement to his demonetization policy. He may aggressively like to continue with his cashless economy policy.
As far as the Congress is concerned, I think it's high time to launch their best weapon, Priyanka Gandhi. On the ground, people have lost jobs due to demonetization, they have suffered a lot. The GDP will show a dip in the 4th quarter. The banks have already started exploiting the public in the name of cashless economy. The Congress must work continuously and build pressure on every anti-people policy of this government.
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